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Wind RazorgaleTier 1

at Card's Village Store champ

decks
4 (12.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17 8-6-3
overall winrate
55.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2% avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
51.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1441 · median 1453 · range 1312–1546 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1059 Q1 1226 Q3 1403 1730
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Seiryuu 12.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.1% -14.3
Fire Luxem Assassin 9.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 70.1% +19.3
Fire Suzaku 9.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 40.4% -9.3
Fire Suited 6.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.3% +8.5
Wind Luxem Assassin 6.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.7
Fire Aetherwing 3.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.5% -13.6
Fire Aggro 3.2% 0
Fire Arcane 3.2% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.5% -16.8
Fire Oblation 3.2% 0
Fire Slimes 3.2% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 3.2% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 57.6% +7.3
Water Crux Mage 3.2% 0
Water Exia 3.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.6% +0.9
Water Genbu 3.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.4
Water Whirlpool Mill 3.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.6% +0.9
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.8% +15.7
Wind Shadowstrike 3.2% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.2% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 41.0% -8.6
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 43 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 43 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Protector Raccoon +1.00 2 0 0
Enfeebling Orb -1.00 0 2 0
Rictus Tiding -1.00 0 2 0
Speed Potion -1.00 0 2 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 2 0 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 2 0 0
Bandit, Gaze Leader +1.00 2 0 0
Escape the Wreckage +1.00 2 0 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 2 0
Topsy Decree +1.00 2 0 0
Reclaim +1.00 2 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 2 0
Expeditious Opening -1.00 0 2 0
Fluffy Shopkeep +1.00 2 0 0
Stifling Gyre +1.00 2 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 2 0
Alchemist's Cauldron -1.00 0 2 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 2 0
Skirting Step +1.00 2 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +0.50 1 0 1
Wind Resonance Bauble +0.50 1 0 0
Acolyte of Cultivation -0.50 0 1 0
Distilled Water -0.50 0 1 1
Unbroken Mustang -0.50 0 1 1
Scout the Land -0.50 0 1 1
Mystic Purifier +0.50 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +0.50 1 0 1
Cyclical Breeze +0.50 1 0 1
Tempest Downfall -0.50 0 1 1
Floral Arrangement -0.50 0 1 0
Ingredient Pouch +0.50 1 0 1
Tariff Ring +0.50 1 0 1
Dream Fairy +0.50 1 0 1
Sasha, Purifying Acolyte -0.50 0 1 0
Eternal Magistrate -0.50 0 1 0
Orb of Sealing +0.50 1 0 0
Galestream Insight -0.50 0 1 0
Blessed Clergy +0.50 1 0 0
Spurred Gallop -0.50 0 1 0
Quicksilver Grail -0.50 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror -0.50 0 1 0
Obscured Offering +0.00 1 1 0
Candlelight Hourglass +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/51564/archetypes/Wind Razorgale